DEMOCRACYS.ORG / COUNTRY BRIEF
Guatemala
Institutions and political conditions · 2025
#67of 179 places
+10.9points since 2015
56.6–71.6source-bound score area*
What the score says
Guatemala scores 63.5 on the Democracys Standard. Its score was 52.6 in 2015, a rise of 10.9 points. The lowest-scoring dimension in 2025 is political equality (43.5).
What drove the change?
The score for Guatemala rose 10.9 points, from 52.6 to 63.5 between 2015 and 2025. All five areas improved. Political equality contributed the largest upward push in the score calculation.
This explains movement within the formula, not the causal effect of political events.
2024 context · Freedom House assessment
An opposition transfer was followed by transparency initiatives
Bernardo Arévalo assumed the presidency after running on an anticorruption platform. His administration introduced measures to make executive decisions and government contracting more transparent. These developments concern both access to office and scrutiny once in office, while entrenched corruption and threats to journalists remained important constraints.
Read the country report · Freedom in the World 2025AI-assisted source summary · not independently expert-reviewed
What this context does—and does not—explain
This is a selected development, not a complete political history. Its date may differ from the selected comparison period. It is not evidence that one event caused a particular number of points, and it may describe progress even when this index declines.
The scores use V-Dem. The narrative summarizes a separate assessment by Freedom House, whose definitions and coverage differ. Neither organization endorses this website. The summary is AI-assisted, source-linked, and has not received independent country-expert review. Source checked October 5, 2026.
Why democracy measures can disagree →Look beneath the headline
| Democracy test | 2025 | Since 2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Free and fair elections | 63.7 | +5.0 |
| Rights and checks on power | 81.4 | +12.8 |
| Public participation | 60.7 | +9.1 |
| Public reasoning | 71.5 | +13.6 |
| Political equality | 43.5 | +12.8 |
Dimension movements are not additive contributions to the overall score. The method also accounts for weak areas.
Three questions worth investigating
- Do different social groups have equal rights, access, resources, and a real chance to influence political power?
- Which documented changes in laws, institutions, or their implementation occurred during the period?
- What evidence challenges your explanation, and whose experience is missing?
Use primary records and country expertise. A change in an estimate alone does not identify its cause.
Read with care
This is an independent educational beta, not a V-Dem endorsement. Scores are not percentages of democracy or judgments about a people. Small differences may be within uncertainty. *The score area is obtained from source bounds; it is not a formal confidence interval for this composite or its change.