2025 country profile

How democratic is
Bulgaria?

Bulgaria scores 70.4 out of 100 and ranks 50 of 179 in our independent 2025 democracy measure. Its lowest-scoring test is free and fair elections. Explore the evidence and history below.

Democracys.org beta estimate, derived from V-Dem v16. A measure of political institutions and conditions—not a percentage of democracy or a judgment of people.

DEMOCRACYS SCORE

70.4out of 100Substantial but incomplete
2025 rank50 of 179
10-year change−4.1
25-year change−5.8
Source-bound range63.9–78.0
Weakest areaElections

The source-bound range is an uncertainty guide, not a confidence interval for this combined score. How to read the range →

SCORE HISTORY

Bulgaria, 1975–2025

The shaded area is a plain-language uncertainty guide. Treat small score differences cautiously.

About uncertainty

BEYOND THE NUMBERS

What changed on the ground?

A documented development to help interpret the institutions behind the score.

2025 context · Freedom House assessment

Election disputes and judicial appointments remained unresolved

Freedom House identifies unresolved fraud and vote-buying concerns surrounding the 2024 election, despite a court invalidating some seats. It also notes that the Supreme Judicial Council continued beyond its expired mandate. These are separate weaknesses in electoral accountability and the renewal of institutions responsible for judicial governance.

Read the country report · Freedom in the World 2026

AI-assisted source summary · not independently expert-reviewed

What this context does—and does not—explain

This is a selected development, not a complete political history. Its date may differ from the selected comparison period. It is not evidence that one event caused a particular number of points, and it may describe progress even when this index declines.

The scores use V-Dem. The narrative summarizes a separate assessment by Freedom House, whose definitions and coverage differ. Neither organization endorses this website. The summary is AI-assisted, source-linked, and has not received independent country-expert review. Source checked October 5, 2026.

Why democracy measures can disagree →

UNDERSTAND THE CHANGE

What drove the score?

Choose comparison period

2015–2025 · the measured story

The score for Bulgaria fell 4.1 points, from 74.5 to 70.4 between 2015 and 2025. All five areas declined. Elections contributed the largest downward push in the score calculation.

Read the political context ↓

Largest influence on the calculation

Elections

The evidence rates electoral choice, voting rights, political organization, and the space for open debate less favorably.

Area score
67.1 → 59.9
Approx. contribution to overall change
−1.5 points

Another important influence

Political equality

The evidence rates the distribution of political influence, rights, and access across social groups less favorably.

Area score
75.7 → 71.2
Approx. contribution to overall change
−0.9 points

These contributions explain the calculation—not the causes. The five area scores combine several indicators; they do not identify which individual law, election, or event changed.

When did the biggest shifts appear?

The largest year-to-year movements within this period. These are changes in annual estimates, not precise dates of political events.

  1. 2016–2017−2.6 points

    The overall score fell from 75.7 to 73.1. Public reasoning supplied the largest downward contribution to that year’s calculated change.

  2. 2023–2024−3.7 points

    The overall score fell from 76.8 to 73.1. Public reasoning supplied the largest downward contribution to that year’s calculated change.

  3. 2024–2025−2.7 points

    The overall score fell from 73.1 to 70.4. Participation supplied the largest downward contribution to that year’s calculated change.

Highest published score in this window: 77.2 in 2022. Small differences may fall within the source’s uncertainty.

See all five areas and how contributions are calculated
Changes in inputs versus contributions to the overall score
Area20152025Input changeApprox. contribution
Elections67.159.9−7.2−1.5
Political equality75.771.2−4.5−0.9
Participation65.161.6−3.5−0.7
Public reasoning80.977.9−3.0−0.6
Rights and checks84.982.6−2.3−0.4

We change the five inputs from their starting to ending values in every possible order, then average each area’s effect on the formula. This distributes the formula’s interactions (a Shapley allocation). It is a mathematical attribution, not a causal estimate.

Inputs and published scores are rounded, so contributions are approximate and may not add exactly to the displayed total. No significance test is implied. Read the full scoring method →

BENEATH THE SCORE

Five dimensions of democracy

The headline score cannot show where a political system is strong or constrained. These five tests can. Each has equal weight in the beta standard.

01

Free and fair elections

Can people choose their leaders through broad voting rights, honest elections, free political groups, and open public debate?

59.9
02

Rights and checks on power

Are basic freedoms protected, laws applied fairly, courts independent, and leaders prevented from abusing power?

82.6
03

Public participation

Can people shape public life through civic groups, direct voting, and meaningful local and regional government?

61.6
04

Public reasoning

Do leaders explain decisions, consult the public, answer opposing arguments, and consider the common good?

77.9
05

Political equality

Do different social groups have equal rights, access, resources, and a real chance to influence political power?

71.2

HOW TO READ THIS PROFILE

Two kinds of evidence.
One clearer picture.

The score breakdown identifies which parts of the measure changed most. The country report adds documented political context. Together they help explain the institutions at stake—but they do not prove that a specific event produced a specific number of points.

Why this score differs from other democracy indices →

What a declining score can—and cannot—tell us about democratic backsliding

A recent improvement can coexist with a long-term decline. Always compare the dates, check the linked source, and consider developments the selected narrative does not cover.

ANNUAL DATA

Bulgaria score table

Download Bulgaria CSV
YearScoreSource-bound rangeElectionsRights & checksParticipationReasoningEquality
202570.463.9–78.059.982.661.677.971.2
202473.167.3–80.364.582.266.381.571.9
202376.871.9–83.165.988.866.988.475.7
202277.271.8–83.667.990.165.884.978.9
202174.969.3–81.866.582.668.883.174.2
202072.667.4–79.860.781.670.280.671.1
201972.466.4–79.560.982.669.575.873.9
201873.167.3–80.161.282.770.776.475.6
201773.167.4–80.362.483.369.475.575.5
201675.770.4–82.566.784.271.581.775.3
201574.569.2–81.467.184.965.180.975.7
201475.069.7–81.667.383.367.281.975.9
201374.068.1–80.765.782.066.480.376.2
201273.668.2–79.966.484.760.581.976.1
201173.468.0–79.967.284.059.480.877.2
201072.967.2–79.267.483.957.380.876.8
200973.768.4–80.569.185.356.782.377.2
200875.270.1–81.571.187.356.086.477.7
200775.169.9–81.370.587.456.086.677.5
200675.369.9–81.470.687.156.087.078.1
200575.370.1–81.270.186.956.088.377.7
200475.770.5–81.672.186.956.088.477.7
200375.770.6–81.772.186.656.088.477.7
200275.670.5–81.772.186.256.088.477.7
200175.370.5–81.769.286.556.090.676.8
200076.271.3–82.471.787.056.090.179.0
199976.171.2–82.371.686.656.090.179.0
199876.271.2–82.070.786.656.091.779.0
199777.072.4–83.071.285.957.392.780.3
199676.271.3–82.369.885.957.389.880.8
199576.171.1–82.169.185.957.389.880.8
199476.071.3–82.469.285.957.389.880.4
199376.071.1–82.369.385.957.389.880.4
199276.571.8–82.569.885.957.391.880.4
199174.369.3–80.362.281.257.391.882.0
199072.667.6–78.957.277.357.391.882.8
198925.719.2–30.318.215.024.77.984.6
198825.719.0–30.018.114.625.17.984.6
198725.819.1–30.118.114.625.57.984.6
198625.919.1–30.118.114.625.97.984.6
198525.919.2–30.218.014.626.37.984.6
198426.219.5–30.418.014.626.77.986.3
198326.219.6–30.417.814.627.17.986.3
198226.319.6–30.517.814.627.57.986.3
198126.319.7–30.517.714.627.97.986.3
198026.419.7–30.617.614.628.37.986.3
197926.520.1–30.917.614.628.77.986.3
197826.520.1–31.017.614.629.17.986.3
197726.620.2–31.017.614.629.57.986.3
197626.720.3–31.117.614.629.97.986.3
197526.820.3–31.117.714.630.37.986.3
197426.720.3–31.117.614.630.37.986.3
197326.720.3–31.117.614.630.37.986.3
197226.519.9–30.917.614.629.17.986.3
197125.819.5–29.917.614.629.16.186.3
197024.718.5–28.917.614.623.16.186.3
196924.618.2–28.617.614.123.16.186.3
196824.618.2–28.617.614.123.16.186.3
196724.618.2–28.617.614.123.16.186.3
196624.618.3–28.717.614.123.16.186.3
196524.618.3–28.717.514.123.16.186.3
196424.618.4–28.817.514.023.56.186.3
196324.718.5–28.817.514.023.96.186.3
196224.818.5–28.917.514.024.36.186.3
196124.818.4–28.817.114.024.76.186.3
196024.918.6–28.917.114.425.16.186.3
195924.818.5–28.817.014.025.56.185.7
195824.918.5–28.917.014.025.96.185.7
195725.118.7–29.117.614.026.36.185.7
195625.319.4–29.417.314.029.15.685.7
195525.419.4–29.417.214.129.55.685.7
195425.519.6–29.717.214.529.95.685.7
195325.319.5–29.516.614.530.35.684.8
195225.319.3–29.316.314.230.75.684.8
195125.319.4–29.416.314.231.15.684.8
195027.921.8–32.616.514.232.012.184.8
194928.021.8–32.516.814.332.012.184.8
194828.222.2–32.816.215.832.112.184.8
194727.421.2–32.112.615.332.113.683.5
194629.823.2–35.613.318.834.721.874.8
194525.319.2–30.77.413.931.321.869.9
194435.828.6–42.715.037.734.445.354.0
194336.929.5–43.813.846.234.245.553.9
194236.328.9–43.012.046.234.245.553.9
194136.529.0–43.112.046.834.245.554.8
194036.529.4–43.612.544.934.246.354.8
193934.327.3–41.011.135.534.246.354.8
193835.428.2–42.111.841.234.245.254.7
193732.025.1–38.29.330.033.445.253.8
193631.825.3–38.29.330.033.445.253.0
193531.725.1–38.09.330.033.444.653.0
193438.231.9–44.812.734.041.761.553.0
193346.339.7–53.219.355.842.168.755.3
193246.740.2–53.919.355.743.768.756.0
193145.839.0–52.919.155.743.763.755.8
193044.437.5–51.618.155.043.758.455.7
192943.836.7–50.817.953.543.758.454.3
192843.836.7–50.817.953.543.758.454.3
192743.836.9–50.917.753.543.758.454.3
192643.736.7–50.717.453.543.758.454.3
192539.832.4–46.717.051.143.740.054.3
192438.531.4–45.417.243.943.740.054.3
192340.433.8–47.416.840.343.750.558.8
192246.339.5–53.421.051.647.060.658.6
192145.539.0–52.721.051.643.760.657.9
192045.839.4–53.121.251.643.762.057.9
191945.338.3–52.420.752.343.759.557.4
191843.336.4–50.320.252.343.152.454.7
191743.536.4–50.320.053.843.152.454.7
191643.536.4–50.320.053.843.152.454.7
191543.436.5–50.420.253.843.151.954.7
191443.536.5–50.320.353.843.151.954.7
191345.037.9–51.921.453.843.158.754.7
191246.039.1–52.722.153.843.862.254.7
191147.140.0–53.622.754.143.866.655.6
191047.140.3–53.822.754.143.866.655.6
190947.140.3–53.822.754.143.866.655.6
190846.339.6–53.022.053.443.863.955.6
190744.137.1–50.921.253.443.852.955.3
190644.137.1–50.921.253.443.852.955.3
190544.137.1–50.921.153.443.852.955.3
190444.137.1–50.921.153.443.852.955.3
190347.040.5–53.621.853.443.368.955.4
190247.240.6–53.721.953.443.370.255.5
190147.140.4–53.621.853.043.370.255.5
190046.839.9–52.820.453.343.370.455.5

CITE THIS PROFILE

Source and attribution

Democracys.org (2026), “Bulgaria Democracy Score, 1900–2025,” Democracys Standard v1.0 beta; derived from Coppedge et al. (2026), V-Dem Country-Year Dataset v16.

Open source DOI

NEARBY IN THE 2025 RANKING

#48Montenegro71.1#49Moldova70.8#51Cape Verde70.4#52Senegal70.4
All rankings